Trump Lifts All Boats
Beauties in Fits
Media and Bush GOP
Have it Backwards
Since our recent Special
Election 2016 Alert issue, we have gotten some more questions about our
view of “the Donald,” which prompts us to further put off the next full
regular issue coming up, and do a brief follow-up on that 2016 forecast.
So far, we have agreed with most everyone not
an ardent supporter of billionaire Donald Trump that he will not be the 2016
Republican nominee for president, much less the next president of the United
States of America. It is a bit jarring
to the senses to imagine the man as the Commander in Chief of what is still
the world’s most powerful nation. Then
again, it could be worse. The Mongols
had Genghis Khan and the Romans had Caligula.
So, there has been some advance.
While we do not foresee his eventual victory,
we also do not think that he will easily or quickly vanish from the
scene. Mr. Trump has secured a solid
portion of the electorate – and not just Republicans – precisely for the
actions that he is faulted for by the mainstream media and the Republican
establishment: his refusal to bow down before either of them. Neither of these groups has a grasp of the
depth of anger of the rank and file at the Republican Party’s leadership over
its apparent impotence over marriage laws, illegal immigration, and the
protection of freedom of conscience (most people think of this last one as a
religious freedom issue, but as we have said before in UWFR issues of June
10 and of July
19, it is critically larger than that).
I Can’t Hear You!…
Since the Friday after the debate in
Cleveland premiering Mr. Trump’s debating skills, the mainstream media – no
friend to conservatives – has been working very hard to get other Republicans
to condemn Mr. Trump’s words and to get them to distance themselves from him
explicitly. In the CBS This Morning show, the beautiful
anchorette Norah O’Donnell (one of the many stunningly beautiful women
ironically featured on the CBS feminist advocacy program) regularly expresses
frustrated disbelief with any Republican candidate that does anything less
than scold Mr. Trump in the strongest possible terms.
First up was Ohio Governor John Kasich, who after
being pushed by Mrs. O’Donnell to put more daylight between him and Mr. Trump
since he did not appear to do so to her satisfaction, had to stammer back:
No, no, no,
no, no. Of course it's not
[okay how Trump spoke about some women]. Everybody knows that – I'm just
acknowledging the fact that the guy has hit a nerve. I didn't tell you I
approve of everything he's doing.
See next column >
World Forecast & Review
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Editor: Scott Lund
Editor: Michael Alberts
Our forecast record cannot be beat. One can follow the herd chasing the latest
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The Ideal Republican Candidate
- For the Democrats
finally let up, but picked up the tack again with subsequent Republican
candidates the following week. By
the way, Mrs. O’Donnell praised Gov. Kasich for “bucking” his own party on an
issue dear to the left, so why not do more of that, Governor? Is it not obvious that the perfect Republican
candidate for the super-feminist, model-perfect looks Mrs. O’Donnell is one
that bucks the Republican Party in every way possible? He wisely did not
Of course, Mrs.
O’Donnell has not been alone in this intense concern with how much other candidates
condemn Mr. Trump. For example, CNN
ran a story titled “Ted Cruz declines to denounce Trump's McCain comments”.
The Reptile Weeps
Why the media
angst heavily mixed in with the indignation over any refusal, or even
hesitation, to turn on Mr. Trump? They routinely talk of the damage Mr.
Trump is doing to the GOP brand,
and not a few Bushian Republicans agree.
But these are crocodile tears, and those Republicans who are conned
into blasting Mr. Trump are fools.
Senator Ted Cruz has been uniquely savvy in his approach: to state
his position positively, and avoid the lure to alienate potential future
What really has the
left-leaning mainstream media very agitated about Mr. Trump and his poll
resiliency in the wake of their outrage over his comments is the exposure
of their impotence. And, like the
Arab Spring that spread once Arabs everywhere saw that one of their
dictators could actually fall, the mainstream media fear a similar
unbuckling of their normally total control over what can and cannot be
said. And, it is this more than
anything else that is driving his support. This is a very serious problem
for them. One only had to look at
Mrs. O’Donnell’s face when talking to Gov. Kasich (regrettably, the clip
linked in the previous paragraphs does not show her most obvious
expressions of frustration which preceded and followed our quote here of
Gov. Kasich – CBS, perhaps wisely, did not include that in the clip they
made available to other news sources).
The Not as Extreme?
Worse, Mr. Trump actually
helps other Republican candidates that the mainstream media pundits and
reporters would at this time be targeting with their harshest language.
Instead, the likes of Texas Senator Cruz, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker,
and former Governor Mike Huckabee are now not credibly lumped in with the
same adjectives used on Mr. Trump.
Continued column 3 >
Running of the Bulls
short, Donald Trump’s brash, bull-in-a-china-shop candidacy is a boon to
the Republican Party – so long as he does not run as a third party
candidate as we said
in our last issue (this is why the other Republicans would do well to
treat him with great care). He is
bringing attention to the Republican candidates as he did in last week’s highest-rated
televised primary debate in history.
Candidates like Ms. Carly Fiorina, and others that were being
overlooked by the media in general, got a very helpful bump in the
polls. The establishment candidate,
former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, did not (we forecast in our February
6 issue he would not do well in this race), and this is also good for
the Republican Party. Lastly, once
Mr. Trump is out of the race and does not run as a third party candidate
(this is the one uncertainty in our forecast), the eventual nominee will
not suffer for Mr. Trump having been in the process, but will gain by Mr.
Trump’s having pulled the pants down (or iifted
the skirts up) of the media’s role as arbiter of what is politically viable
we said before on our Twitter account, and further clarified in our last
issue, we believe Trump has peaked, but his support will remain
steady. However, his frontrunner
status is due primarily to the pooling of the protest vote under the sole
wild bull in the china shop.
However, 75% of the other Republican voters see the wisdom in
supporting a more disciplined bull, and as some of those candidates begin
to winnow out of the race, that 75% will begin to coalesce under one of
those remaining bulls (and not under the docile longhorn the party
establishment is trying to sell the Republican primary voters).
two years ago, when the mainstream media was all agog over New Jersey
Governor Chris Christie as a GOP 2016 frontrunner, we said that would not
happen. He is in the back, and
falling. Check. We said in our February 6 issue of this
year that Rand Paul will not win, and Jeb Bush was going to fare worse than
predicted, and re-stated that in our last issue – and both are now
weakening. Check. In that February 6 issue we also said
Texas Governor Rick Perry’s candidacy would go nowhere. Check.
In our April
7 issue we said Senator Cruz would rise. Check.
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