The Ted Cruz Power of Palin – Sans Palin
GOP Establishment to
Quality to Bridge
U.S. Texas Senator Ted Cruz (actually
a member of our own Texas Senate District 15) announced his candidacy on March 23, to the shock and horror of the leftist punditry and even many
Republicans. Well, maybe not shock,
but certainly horror. Everyone we heard
comment, from people we know, to major media talkers, spoke about how extreme
and unlikely his candidacy is and will be – everyone except the most
conservative talk show hosts.
Whatever one thinks of Senator Cruz’s ideas and tactics, he
is brighter than most, if not all of his likely GOP opponents. He has made his GOP Congressional elders
bend to his will, to their permanent bitter resentment. He does not care. He may not have to.
Mr. Cruz is a gifted speaker, as
anyone who has heard him speak knows.
And he is unique in his ability to appeal to both the conservative
religious wing of the party, and the libertarian side. Several articles in the libertarian
mouthpiece Reason have been coyly admiring
of the senator, a medium not normally friendly to religious conservatives.
Poll Numbers - for Now
Despite his poll numbers being in the
single digits when he announced on Monday, March 23, numbers far below those
of frontrunners like former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and Indiana Governor
Scott Walker, we expect that to change in short order.
Barring some damaging revelation
currently not known (like a criminal charge or scandal), Mr. Cruz will likely
be one of the top three Republican candidates for the 2016 race for the
Republican nomination for president.
is No Palin
the GOP, Ted Cruz has the star power of Sarah Palin, but without the baggage
of her mind-numbing lack of erudition.
forget that in the 2008 presidential election it was the Alaska governor, not
the far more experienced, educated, and centrist U.S. Senator John McCain,
that drew crowds to GOP rallies. Ted
Cruz has that drawing power, and he has it unfettered by the twangy
clunkiness of the Palin mind.
approaches, the horrified Republican establishment will be forced to reckon
with Mr. Cruz to secure the critical conservative Christian votes needed for
any Republican candidate to win the presidency in 2016. They will come to realize that he will endanger
any 2016 outcome for the Republicans that does not take Ted Cruz into
account. And, he will have the power
to do so – that is, unless he slips, and exposes his hand too soon.
Editor’s Post Script:
We implore our readers to
remember that our forecasts are not to be taken as endorsements, or the
See next column >
World Forecast & Review
Project – ultrapolisproject.com
Editor: Marco A. Roberts
Editor: Michael Alberts
Our forecast record cannot be beat. One can follow the herd chasing the latest
hyperbolic, melodramatic, and soon-forgotten micro-trend, or one can be
wisely and judiciously in front of it with UWFR.
Ted Cruz & Wild Support: The photo
at the right was captured by our cameraman,
perhaps prophetically, at the 2014 Texas
Republican State Convention.
Ultrapolis Readers’ Panel Votes &
Panel Split on Rand Paul &
Jeb Bush 2016
The three-person panel votes and comments on
selected Ultrapolis forecasts. One
panel member is self-identified as leaning libertarian/conservative, one as
liberal, and one as very conservative. The forecasts, and the panel votes
can be viewed via the link below.
Below are the panel
comments on the forecasts.
Jeb Bush in 2016
The former Florida governor
will not do as well as expected in 2016. (UWFR, 2-6-15)
Vote: No. He'll do just fine. His father and (to a lesser degree)
his brother are well respected in Republican circles. If he wins the
Republican nomination, he will not be liked on the left because he's a Bush
and because he's Republican although he's a fairly big government type of
Vote: Yes. His complete lack of charisma won't work in a post-Obama world.
He's got it made as governor of a state where he is "preaching
to the choir" where conservative values are concerned and "old
white-guy politicians" are still king. Outside Florida, he won't
have much appeal with anyone. He isn't actual presidential material
like H.W. was and he isn't a folksy buffoon like W., so I don't see much
hope for him.
Vote: Yes. I do not expect him to
Rand Paul in 2016
senator from Kentucky will not be a viable candidate at the top of the GOP
ticket in 2016. (UWFR, 2-6-15)
Vote: Yes. Agreed: he will not
be a viable candidate. Possibly seen as too extreme by both sides although
he is liked by many young people on all sides of the spectrum.
Vote: Yes. If he decides to play the game and present
himself as an uncompromising social conservative as well as a fiscal
conservative, he could have more appeal across the various subgroups within
the Republican party and gain some traction. Personally, I don't
think this will happen.
Continued column 3 >
Vote: No. I think he makes a more
likely candidate than others.
Praising UWFR - Mostly
Obama Immigration Act
State of the New Republic
The Birdman Speaks
“Obama Acts on Immigration”, UWFR 11/21/14] Thanks for
helping an interested but not politically savvy person like me better
understand this subject!
“State of the New Republic &
Worst Gay Power Couple”, UWFR 2/6/15]. I often – nay, usually! - disagree with
you, but this issue really said why I read you anyway: [sic] I have this
morbid curiosity to know what the ‘other side’ is saying, and you let me
satisfy it without having to reach for the nearest barf bag. I guess that’s saying something.
Trenton, New Jersey
came across your issue, “State of the New
Republic”. I loved it. Good luck.
[“State of the New Republic"]
column claims to aim to these high goals, but all you do is oppose anything
Clinton and Obama do, and pass opinions as facts. Your forecasts are all about GOP
victories – but that is just a fantasy.
After all, Romney didn’t win, did he?
Editor’s Reply: For the record, we forecast an Obama
victory in 2012.
[Re: “Birdman Speaks to Who They Think We
Are”, UWFR 2/25/15]. Fabulous
commentary, not only on a movie but on what we have become!
always look forward to these [UWFR]
posts. It lets me peek into the right leaning camp without the Tea
Party BS. As always - THANKS.
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