Bar_WorldBlue_Ultrapolis_World.jpg    Mideast Policy Alert


Thursday, September 13, 2012 - Volume 3, Number 7

© Copyright 2012, The Ultrapolis Project.  All Rights Reserved.

President Obama Will Take Police Action

Libyan U.S. Consulate Attack, Egyptian U.S. Embassy Melee, Israeli Public Rift, to Provoke Response


The murderous attacks on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, that left four American public servants dead, including the American ambassador to Libya, J. Christopher Stevens, preceded by the previous day’s unusual Israeli public protest of U.S. foreign policy regarding Iran, and followed by the violent mob demonstrations against the U.S. at the gates of the U.S. embassy in Cairo, will provoke a military strike by the president. 


While the president has been often criticized for being too publicly apologetic to any person or country that is in any way identified with Islam, and has warped official language on foreign policy to prohibit even using the term “war on terror” or “Islamic terrorism” (but it’s OK to talk about a “war on women”), he has a track record of not shying away from deadly strikes against non-state violent actors, not tolerating well personal embarrassments, and of taking seriously any threats of terrorist attacks on Americans (U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder’s lunacy notwithstanding).  His record of maintaining or reinstating Bush era security policies, increased illegal alien deportations, keeping open Guantanamo Bay, and shooting any known pirates and terrorists on sight (not least Osama Bin Laden) belies his other record of a self-effacing foreign policy.


We expect that President Obama, regardless of whatever far left inclinations he may harbor as described by the movie “2016: Obama’s America,” is very clear on the danger these recent developments pose to his re-election, and his ambitions for America’s future.  The president and his Foreign Service may yet continue to dangerously misapply soft diplomatic language, but he will not allow Arab (or even American) misunderstanding of his words to tie his hands in anyway.


Forecast Confidence level: High.



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