|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In
2009, Chicago Leads Again,
But in 2010 Dubai is New Number One
|
|
|
|
|
Bad
Data on the Internet
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
After a review of the 2005 ranking data, it was determined that two
towers, the Al Fattan Towers, reported as completed in Dubai by December
31, 2005, were actually not finished until February 2006, resulting
in incorrect scoring for Dubai for 2005 (now corrected). A broader
review exposed additional bad data in a few of the cities ranked.
Another major correction to the information we had was the removal
of the Grand Duta Hyatt in Kuala Lumpur, a building still reported
as completed in 2004 by various sources, but that was never actually
built.
A subsequent investigation determined that many of the most
respected websites and hard-copy sources publishing skyscraper and
other building information had incorrect information, which was often
repeated by different sources, or published data in an inconsistent
manner.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In 2009, as has been the case with every year this last decade,
we saw significant ranking changes. In determining the rankings of
the world's 25 tallest cities as of December 31, 2009, we continued
to find that almost all of the construction of supertall skyscrapers
is in Asia (for top 25, see left link). Of the ten tallest cities
of 2008, only Hong Kong, Kuala Lumpur, Houston, and Shenzhen did NOT
introduce new buildings into their own top ten tallest, and kept their
scores static.
In 2009, Chicago added to its skyline the tallest building
built in the Western Hemisphere since the Sears (Willis) Tower was
completed in 1974. The Trump International Hotel and Tower, at 1,362
feet (415 m), was 9th tallest in the world when it was finished, and
was the tallest completed in 2009 (it now ranks 10th, and we project
will rank 11th by the end of 2010). This put Chicago back at number
1 at 2009's end, but only briefly.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Procedures
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Our procedures now call for verification
of the existence and completion of buildings not previously reviewed
or documented, after we complete the initial review of all 1,000-plus
buildings and towers in our growing database. This database includes
the name, built date, roof and spire height, and existence documentation
when deemed necessary. New buildings for which evidence of their completion
cannot be found will be excluded.
In order to rank skyline heights,
several methods were reviewed, and the following one was determined
to reflect most closely what one would see with the naked eye if the
city skylines were placed against each other; that is, which would
appear taller. Most methods yielded similar results.
For each city,
a review of the tallest 25-30 buildings is conducted, depending on
the level of new construction, to determine which buildings are new
and which are complete, and to verify in which year they can start
being ranked. Because some buildings will rank differently depending
on the inclusion of their spire, some buildings may not be included
in one calculated score of its city's top ten, but are included in
another. This also occurs when including towers. To track any corrections
to height information, and prevent duplication of data for the same
building, alternative building names are tracked for each city's top
30.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Singapore Edges Up, Beijing Rockets Up
|
|
|
|
|
Among
the top ten, in 2009 Singapore moved up to 7th, past Houston and Shenzhen,
pushing those two down to 8th and 9th respectively. Among the top
25, Beijing catapulted forward from 29th to to 16th, after completing
three new major skyscrapers, including its two tallest, and entered
the top 25 for the first time.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dubai Game-Changer in 2010: Khalifa Tower
|
|
|
|
|
|
In 2010, the major developments so
far have been headlined, of course, by the completion of the long-awaited
Burj Dubai, now called the Burj Khalifa ('burj' meaning 'tower') in
Dubai. The super skyscraper is in a category all its own, reaching
so far into the sky, over half a mile, its nearest competitor in Taipei
is dwarfed by it. Since the Empire State Building was completed in
New York City in 1931, all the height gains of its successors have
been incremental (WTC, 9%; Sears Tower, 5%; Petronas, 2%; Taipei 101,
13%). The gain of the Khalifa Tower over the Taipei 101 is an astounding
63%. This is the true heir of the visionary impulses that raised the
Empire State Building. And, like the Empire State Building, which
captured the worlds' imagination and remain unrivaled for nearly 40
years, anyone over 40 is unlikely to ever see the 2,716 foot (828
m) Khalifa Tower matched, let alone surpassed.
Thus, with the completion
of this new super tower, and three other major skyscrapers in Dubai,
Dubai handily takes the lead as the World's Tallest City (for more
on Dubai's rise, see the World's Tallest City).
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guangzhou Breaks Top
Ten, Moscow Follows, Passes Beijing
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Dubai developments pushed Chicago
down to 2nd place. Then later in 2010 Hong Kong completed its newest
tallest building, the 1,588 foot International Commerce Tower, ranked
4th in the world, which allowed Hong Kong to slip back into 2nd place,
and left Chicago now in 3rd. As a result of Dubai's final step up,
Shanghai moved down to 4th from 3rd in 2009.
The other major change
among the top ten so far in 2010, has been the ascension of Guangzhou
to 6th place from 13th, pushing Singapore, Houston, Shenzhen and Toronto
down a notch. However, Toronto added a new building to its top ten,
allowing it to move past Shenzhen (pusing it down another notch),
and to remain in 10th place.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Calculation Method
(CAHTT)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three separate
scores are compiled for each city: The sum of the heights of its ten
tallest buildings up to the roof (spire not counted); the sum of the
heights of its ten tallest buildings, including the spires; and, the
sum of the heights of its ten tallest towers and buildings (up to
roof only). We do not consider the number of stories since they are
not a good indicator of a building's actual height. The scores are
added together and then divided by three.The result of this is to
give more weight to actual floor space (100% value) than to spires
(33% value) that are often little more than needles in the air, or
towers that also do not occupy much space in the air (67% value).
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Outlook:
China Gains; America Fades
|
|
|
|
|
|
There is a question as to the feasibility
of the rapid development in Dubai. After all, one wonders how a city
of a 1.2 million will support, and fill, an array of skyscrapers normally
found in rich cities seven times as big. This is the same Dubai that
caused an uproar in 2006 over the deal to manage major U.S. ports,
that was the source of $10 million in annual earnings for former U.S
president Bill Clinton through a business partnership, and that U.S.
Vice-President Dick Cheney's former company of Halliburton chose as
its new headquarters to escape U.S. taxes. It has become a major world
banking and financial center, tourist destination, and the main air
transportation hub in the Middle East. Regrettably, it is also the
same Dubai that bans all Isrealis from entering it.
We expect to continue
to see dramatic gains by Chinese cities, as the former pre-emimence
of American cities fades. Twenty-five years ago Shanghai was a fourth
world city that was poorer and more backward than major third world
cities like Mexico City and Sao Paulo, and had not a single skyscraper.
Its transformation in that time to today's futuristic skyline rivaling
that of America's greatest cities, is nothing short of astonishing.
A similar transformation has been taking place in other major Chinese
cities such as Shenzhen, Guanzhou, Wuhan, and Chongqing, and reflects
the record growth of the economic might of China, as well as its emergence
as a world superpower. In 2008 it surpassed Germany as the world's
3rd largest economy. In 2010, successive headlines have announced
China's new number one ranking as world's greatest car manufacturer,
number one consumer of commmodities, and its expected surpassing of
number 2 Japan in economic output this year.
As for American cities,
after almost twenty years of very little changes in their skylines,
the only new architectural vigor evident is in Chicago and Miami.
Miami, in particular, completed eleven buildings of 500 feet (150
m) or more, in 2008. However, this was likely an echo of the real
estate bubble of the mid-2000's, and is not likely to continue in
the near term.
For more on Dubai, Chicago, and New York City, and
their skyline building histories, see the article links at upper left.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In keeping with standard practice as established by the Council
on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat, antennas are not counted.
We
refer to this method as the Calculated Average Height of the Ten Tallest,
or CAHTT.
In ranking, categories became apparent, thus the tiers.
Tier 1 are those five cities with skylines significantly higher than
all others. The sub-categories of A and B note the clumping of the
scores with Tier 1B cities' composite scores closely clumped around
900 (and easily switched ranks in their separate scores), while both
1A cities had notably higher scores, above 950. Tier 2 cities' scores
were significantly lower than the five Tier 1 cities, and, between
2000 and 2007,closely clumped between 700 and 810. Between 2000 and
2007,Tier 3 are those below 700. For 2008, the 730 is the new minimum
score for a Tier 2 classification.
The survey reviews the statistics
of over 1,000 buildings and towers in 35 cities, and does an annual cursory
review of a dozen more potential qualifiers for the top 25.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Discussion
on Methods Used by Other Skyline-Ranking Websites
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The above approach, of course is not is not about determining
which skyline is more aesthetic, or which appears more imposing when
seen by itself, as other skyline ranking sites aim to do. It is merely
an objective measurement of actual vertical dimension.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
W
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Some visitors have pointed out to us (some boosters
of Hong Kong and some of New York City) that their city should be
on top because their city has more tall buildings. The problem
with the approach of counting buildings is that one is no longer measuring
actual height, but quantity of buildings. Certainly, a larger quantity
of buildings may make a skyline appear more impressive, even if all
the buildings are less than 500 feet tall, but it does not make it
taller. This is why sites such as Emporis.com and Egbert Gramsbergen
and Paul Kazmierczak's "The World's Best Skylines" rank Sao Paulo
relatively high on their lists even though it has few buildings above
500 feet, and none above 1,000 feet. Those rankings do not focus solely
on height (nor do they claim to) as we aim to do here.
Why this ranking?
We believe it is one measure of the changing balance of power in our
world.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
W
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
© The Ultrapolis Project, 2004- 2010
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
World's Tallest Skylines - World's Tallest Cities - Tallest Buildings of the World - Tallest Skylines of the World - Tallest Cities of the World - Ultrapolis Project 2009
|